The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +0.7°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.
Live from geostationary orbit · updates about every 5 minutes · more views at NOAA STAR
1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15.6° | 16.9° | 2.4° | 5.0° | +1.2° |
| February | 21.5° | 22.4° | 6.1° | 7.8° | +0.9° |
| March | 26.6° | 27.5° | 7.0° | 8.3° | +1.0° |
| April | 37.3° | 38.5° | 18.7° | 19.8° | +1.2° |
| May | 49.1° | 50.4° | 29.7° | 31.0° | +1.3° |
| June | 58.0° | 58.6° | 39.6° | 40.9° | +0.6° |
| July | 60.2° | 60.5° | 43.9° | 45.4° | +0.3° |
| August | 56.7° | 56.7° | 41.3° | 42.6° | +0.1° |
| September | 47.1° | 47.0° | 33.0° | 33.9° | +-0.1° |
| October | 34.2° | 34.8° | 21.2° | 22.4° | +0.6° |
| November | 22.2° | 22.2° | 9.4° | 10.2° | +-0.0° |
| December | 18.9° | 20.6° | 5.6° | 8.3° | +1.6° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
Okay, it’s bad. Do something: watch SuperCrowd26 free (Aug 25–27) · get the hope newsletter
The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Wasilla itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Matanuska-Susitna Borough) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.
Nearby: Palmer · Matanuska-Susitna Borough data page
Superpowers for Good — a top-100 Substack in Climate & Environment — covers the founders fixing real problems and the ordinary people who fund them. Something to do besides recycling.