Nowmal › California › Stanislaus County
Climate-adjusted normal temperatures for 2026 — what “normal” looks like when it’s measured against today’s climate instead of a 30-year average centered on 2005.
Stanislaus County’s official normal high — the 1991–2020 average shown by weather apps — now understates the local climate by an average of 1.3°F across the year. The gap is widest in January (+2.4°F), and warming here has been fastest in winter. That places Stanislaus County #316 of 3,136 U.S. counties for how far “normal” has drifted from reality.
1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 55.9° | 58.3° | 38.8° | 39.9° | +2.4° |
| February | 60.9° | 62.3° | 40.9° | 41.1° | +1.5° |
| March | 66.0° | 67.4° | 43.5° | 44.1° | +1.4° |
| April | 71.7° | 72.9° | 46.4° | 47.3° | +1.2° |
| May | 79.7° | 80.7° | 51.7° | 52.7° | +1.1° |
| June | 87.7° | 88.9° | 57.1° | 58.3° | +1.2° |
| July | 93.2° | 93.8° | 61.4° | 62.8° | +0.5° |
| August | 92.1° | 93.1° | 60.6° | 62.1° | +1.0° |
| September | 88.0° | 89.4° | 57.6° | 59.1° | +1.4° |
| October | 78.2° | 79.5° | 50.6° | 51.4° | +1.3° |
| November | 65.1° | 66.1° | 42.9° | 43.6° | +1.0° |
| December | 55.9° | 57.4° | 38.1° | 39.0° | +1.5° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
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The official normal is the 1991–2020 average from NOAA’s homogenized county climate record (nClimDiv). The warming trend is fit to the county’s full record since 1895 using NOAA’s published hinge-fit approach — flat before 1975, linear after — then the normal is advanced 20.5 years to 2026. Full details on the methodology page.
Cities in Stanislaus County: Modesto · Turlock · Ceres · Patterson · Riverbank · Oakdale · Newman · Waterford · Hughson
More in California: Santa Barbara County · Ventura County · Del Norte County · Los Angeles County · San Joaquin County · Humboldt County · all California counties
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