Nowmal › Kentucky › Lexington-Fayette urban county
Lexington-Fayette urban county, Kentucky
The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +0.7°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.
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Month by month
1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 41.7° | 42.1° | 24.5° | 25.4° | +0.4° |
| February | 46.4° | 48.2° | 27.0° | 29.0° | +1.8° |
| March | 55.5° | 57.3° | 34.4° | 35.9° | +1.8° |
| April | 66.8° | 67.8° | 43.3° | 44.4° | +1.0° |
| May | 75.4° | 75.5° | 53.0° | 54.3° | +0.1° |
| June | 82.9° | 83.0° | 61.1° | 61.9° | +0.1° |
| July | 86.2° | 86.2° | 65.1° | 66.1° | +-0.0° |
| August | 85.4° | 85.6° | 63.6° | 64.4° | +0.2° |
| September | 79.8° | 80.0° | 56.4° | 57.1° | +0.2° |
| October | 68.3° | 68.6° | 45.2° | 46.3° | +0.2° |
| November | 55.6° | 56.6° | 35.0° | 36.0° | +1.0° |
| December | 45.5° | 47.1° | 28.6° | 30.5° | +1.7° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
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About this data
The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Lexington-Fayette urban county itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Fayette County) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.
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