NowmalKentucky › Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)

Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky

The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +0.7°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.

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Year-round gap
+0.7°F
how far “normal” lags the climate here
Winter gap
+1.5°F
Dec–Feb normal high
Summer gap
+-0.2°F
Jun–Aug normal high
National rank
#1,601
of 3,136 U.S. counties
Traditional vs climate-adjusted normal through the year
Official 1991–2020 normal Climate-adjusted to 2026

Month by month

1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.

MonthNormal highAdjusted high Normal lowAdjusted lowGap (high)
January42.3°42.8°25.0°26.0°+0.5°
February47.0°49.1°27.7°29.4°+2.0°
March56.8°58.7°35.4°36.6°+1.9°
April68.4°69.3°44.9°45.9°+1.0°
May76.9°77.2°55.1°56.5°+0.3°
June84.8°85.0°63.4°64.6°+0.2°
July87.4°86.8°67.1°68.1°+-0.6°
August86.9°86.7°65.3°66.0°+-0.2°
September81.0°81.3°57.8°58.7°+0.3°
October69.3°69.6°46.1°47.3°+0.3°
November56.5°57.4°35.8°36.8°+1.0°
December46.0°47.9°29.3°31.3°+1.8°
Why this number exists

The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.

It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →

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About this data

The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Jefferson County) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.

Nearby: Jeffersontown · St. Matthews · Shively · Lyndon · Middletown · Douglass Hills · Jefferson County data page

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