Nowmal › Montana › Anaconda-Deer Lodge County
The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +1.5°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.
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1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 30.1° | 33.1° | 14.0° | 16.4° | +3.0° |
| February | 32.0° | 33.1° | 13.4° | 13.9° | +1.1° |
| March | 40.1° | 42.7° | 19.0° | 20.6° | +2.6° |
| April | 46.8° | 47.6° | 24.5° | 24.7° | +0.8° |
| May | 56.0° | 56.6° | 32.3° | 32.9° | +0.6° |
| June | 63.8° | 65.2° | 38.7° | 39.4° | +1.4° |
| July | 74.5° | 76.0° | 44.6° | 45.3° | +1.5° |
| August | 73.6° | 75.3° | 43.3° | 44.2° | +1.8° |
| September | 63.4° | 65.7° | 36.6° | 37.4° | +2.3° |
| October | 49.0° | 49.7° | 27.7° | 27.9° | +0.7° |
| November | 36.2° | 37.6° | 18.6° | 18.9° | +1.4° |
| December | 28.5° | 29.5° | 12.6° | 12.8° | +1.0° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
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The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Anaconda-Deer Lodge County itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Deer Lodge County) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.
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