Nowmal › North Carolina › Winston-Salem
The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +0.7°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.
Live from geostationary orbit · updates about every 5 minutes · more views at NOAA STAR
1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 48.9° | 49.6° | 28.6° | 29.5° | +0.6° |
| February | 53.0° | 54.9° | 31.2° | 33.3° | +1.9° |
| March | 60.8° | 62.4° | 37.7° | 39.2° | +1.5° |
| April | 70.6° | 71.7° | 45.7° | 47.0° | +1.1° |
| May | 77.7° | 77.4° | 54.5° | 55.6° | +-0.3° |
| June | 84.7° | 84.8° | 63.2° | 64.2° | +0.1° |
| July | 87.9° | 88.4° | 67.2° | 68.5° | +0.5° |
| August | 86.0° | 86.1° | 66.1° | 67.2° | +0.1° |
| September | 80.1° | 79.8° | 59.4° | 60.5° | +-0.3° |
| October | 70.8° | 70.9° | 47.1° | 48.4° | +0.2° |
| November | 60.3° | 61.1° | 36.8° | 37.9° | +0.8° |
| December | 51.8° | 53.4° | 31.3° | 33.3° | +1.6° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
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The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Winston-Salem itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Forsyth County) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.
Nearby: Kernersville · Clemmons · Lewisville · King · Walkertown · Forsyth County data page
Superpowers for Good — a top-100 Substack in Climate & Environment — covers the founders fixing real problems and the ordinary people who fund them. Something to do besides recycling.